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Annenberg Polling on US Party Allegiance

Below are excerpts from the latest Annenberg polling, Democrats still are a slight majority of the US population, but Republicans have made strong gains.

The white Born-again demographic (which was previously strongly Republican) moved more so with the last election, signs of the Republican specific efforts to court that group. If you note what happened through was not Progressive Christians moving (they stayed about the same), but rather Independant Christians being swayed to Republican camp this go round. Democrats need to learn from their success there.

But even still the Religious Right would frame that all true Christians are Republicans, and this poll clearly shows that to be wrong
even after such a full-court press by the Repubs, still 23% of "born-again, white evangelicals" is actually a Democrat. Good data.

"Republicans narrowed the gap in party allegiance in the 2004 campaign, but are still outnumbered by Democrats, the University of Pennsylvania’s National Annenberg Election Survey shows.

Clymer said “Our data reflects steady Republican gains, though both parties gained allegiance from independents in a year of a spirited presidential contest. Republicans have been looking for a party realignment in which they would assume dominant status ever since Ronald Reagan’s victory in 1980, and they moved closer this year.”

“But the narrowing of the gap is more reflective of Democratic losses than Republican gains,” he said. In presidential elections in the 1960s, according to the data of the American National Election Survey, just 27 percent of Americans called themselves Republicans but 48 percent said they were Democrats.

The biggest Republican gains were recorded among evangelical white Protestants. In 2000, 42 percent called themselves Republicans, and 25 percent called themselves Democrats, a 17 percentage point Republican advantage. In 2004, the margin increased to 25 points, as 48 percent said they were Republicans and 23 percent said they were Democrats."
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